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Letter "E" » Ethan Harris Quotes
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«The markets are going to be a bit uncertain as to how to react, given that the Fed is waiting in the wings. They are all going to be looking ahead toward the FOMC meeting to see what the Fed's verdict is on the data rather than reacting as it comes out. They'll be sort of holding their breath.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«Clearly the new focus of Fed attention is the stock market. The Fed is not focused on many of the indicators equity analysts emphasize. Instead, the Fed's focus is on aggregate wealth creation in the market.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«If we have an economy that functions O.K., with a little help from the Fed, in that case gridlock is quite good for the market.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«You probably want to subtract about two-tenths of a percent from first-quarter GDP growth. But that's looking like very old history, with the Fed having eased twice since the first quarter. From the market's perspective, you feel like you're in a different world already. The first quarter looks very distant, indeed.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«Clearly, Corporate America is still in hunker-down mode, reluctant to increase budgets for equipment and slow about increasing employment. That puts a weight around the neck of the recovery and keeps it at a moderate pace.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«[The CPI number] doesn't have a big influence in Fed thinking. This keeps [policy makers] comfortable where they are.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«[By the fourth quarter], you will continue to have worries about corporate governance issues, a weak stock market and a buildup to war in Iraq leading to higher oil prices -- a lot of negative psychological forces in the economy that will make it very hard to sustain growth going forward.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«The Fed's kind of locked into this cautious optimism mode. Everybody there has the same line about how once geopolitical risks abate things will get better.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«Even with a resolution to the situation in Iraq, the economy will still be suffering from some fairly significant headwinds.»
Author: Ethan Harris
«Before the war, consumers were doing OK, but the corporate sector didn't want to get going. We're back to the same environment. You see it in surveys of CEOs -- they just aren't convinced that now's the time to start expanding their business.»
Author: Ethan Harris
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